Obama's Floor

Looking at it from the other side, here are the states that I consider to be Obama's floor -- states that McCain has no chance of winning:

- In the Northeast: Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia
- In the Midwest: Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan
- In the West: California, Oregon, Washington

These states, with 234 votes, are Obama's floor. Barring a major disaster and screw-up by Obama, these are states (plus DC) McCain will not win.

Technically, Pennsylvania should be on this list, but I am leaving it out, as McCain's entire strategy for winning is based on winning Pennsylvania. I think this is all but impossible at this point, but will indulge the senior senator, if for no other reason than the sake of suspense.