Obama Longshots

In my electoral map, here are the states that I consider longshots for Obama to pickup. But you could well see them turning blue next Tuesday, ordered here from least to most likely (within each category, and among categories overall):

- Cracker Country surprises: South Dakota, Alaska, and Nebraska CD-1 (7 E.V.)
- Cracker Country outliers: West Virginia, Arkansas, North Dakota, Montana (17 E.V.)
- Dixie surprises: Louisiana, South Carolina, Mississippi (23 E.V.)
- Southwest outliers: Arizona (10 E.V.)
- Dixie outliers: Georgia (15 E.V.)

These 11 states (and 2 Congressional districts) have a total of 72 electoral votes. Give them all to McCain, along with his "floor" states, and he has a total of 162 electoral votes.